The latest episode of The Freight Buyers’ Club Podcast, sponsored by Dimerco Express Group, tackles pressing issues shaping global logistics as we head toward 2025. Featuring Kathy Liu, Vice President of Global Sales and Marketing at Dimerco, the discussion covers heightened freight security concerns, geopolitical tensions, and the impact of shifting tariff policies.
Geopolitical Tensions and Freight Security
Recent events, such as the tragic DHL plane crash near Vilnius, Lithuania, have intensified focus on freight network security. Amid speculations of sabotage linked to geopolitical tensions, particularly with Russia, the freight sector faces increased scrutiny. Experts discuss how these developments may impact shipping safety and drive further regulatory measures across global parcels networks.
Tariffs and the Return of Trade Wars
As the U.S. prepares for a new administration, the conversation around trade wars and tariffs has regained momentum. With the possibility of “Trump 2.0” policies introducing higher tariffs on imports from China, Mexico, Canada, and beyond, shippers are bracing for significant shifts.
Kathy Liu highlights how many U.S. consumers and businesses could bear the financial burden of these tariffs. While some manufacturers are adopting a “wait and see” approach, others are accelerating their diversification strategies, shifting production to Southeast Asia, South Asia, and Latin America.
China Plus One Strategy: A Growing Trend
The “China Plus One” strategy, which began gaining traction post-COVID, continues to reshape global supply chains. This strategy is part of broader diversification strategies that companies are employing to reduce reliance on China and safeguard against geopolitical risks and tariff disruptions. Liu explains how companies started trial runs in alternative manufacturing hubs like Vietnam, Thailand, and India as early as 2022. By 2024, many of these companies are poised to begin large-scale production outside China, further mitigating risks from tariff increases and geopolitical instability.
Lunar New Year and Frontloading Concerns
With the Lunar New Year coinciding with potential tariff escalations in January, some anticipated a rush to secure freight space for U.S.-bound goods. However, Liu notes that this expected surge has yet to materialize. Both air and ocean freight markets have seen muted activity, with spot rates from Shanghai to Los Angeles even declining recently.
Despite this, the air cargo sector remains tight due to sustained demand throughout 2024, though Liu predicts a reduction in e-commerce-driven air freight by 2025 as companies adjust logistics strategies.
The Future of U.S. De Minimis Rules and E-Commerce Logistics
Changes to the U.S. de minimis rules—currently allowing products valued under $800 to enter the country duty-free—could disrupt platforms like Shein and Temu. However, Liu believes these e-commerce giants are prepared, with plans to expand U.S. warehouses and shift more goods via ocean freight to mitigate potential impacts.
What Lies Ahead for Freight Markets
As the freight industry approaches 2025, geopolitics, regulatory changes, and shifting consumer behaviors are expected to drive significant changes in global supply chains. Companies investing in diversification and strategic logistics planning will be best positioned to meet these challenges head-on.
Dimerco is dedicated to helping businesses thrive in today’s dynamic market, with a strategic focus on logistics to, from and within the Asia-Pac region. With over 130 offices across Asia, Dimerco has a significant presence in the region. Does your supply chain run through Asia? Reach out to our team of experts for tailored support.
For deeper insights on global logistics, tariffs, and trade strategies, listen to the full episode of The Freight Buyers’ Club podcast.